China-Australia Trade Relations and China’s Barley Imports

The high concentration of China’s barley import sources determines that trade is vulnerable to the impact tariff policy adjustment. In particular, in 2020, China implemented anti-dumping and anti-subsidy policies against Australia, largest source imports. Therefore, whether will face risks due adjustment has become a question worth discussing. Based on above background, this study uses partial equilibrium model explore imported from Australia industry under changing relations between Australia. Through analyzing feasibility developing domestic expanding sources, further strategies deal with risks. results show that: Under three simulations, total volume shows downward trend, price increases varying degrees. However, relatively small increase production suggests market less able cope risk sharp drop At same time, affected by policy, some Chinese consumer demand difficult satisfy. can implementing an diversification strategy.